Published: 23:24, March 12, 2026
National strategy blends development with resilience
By Ken Ip

Every spring, when China convenes its annual two sessions in Beijing, observers around the world comb through policy language in search of signals about the country’s future direction. Now that this year’s meetings of the National People’s Congress and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference have concluded, a clearer picture has emerged. The message from Beijing is not dramatic stimulus or sweeping reform. It is something more low-key and perhaps more consequential: continuity, strategic patience, and a longer-term horizon.

At a moment when much of the world seems consumed by political cycles measured in months or quarters, China’s leadership continues to frame economic policy around plans that stretch years, even decades, into the future. The annual Government Work Report reaffirmed a growth target of 4.5 to 5 percent, alongside a fiscal deficit of roughly 4 percent of GDP and new central government bond issuance of 1.3 trillion yuan ($189 billion). The figures themselves were not especially surprising. What mattered more was the signal embedded within them. China is not attempting to engineer a dramatic short-term rebound. Instead, it appears focused on maintaining steady momentum while restructuring its economy for the next stage of development.

This approach reflects a governing philosophy that increasingly blends economic development with national resilience. Throughout the policy discussions this year, officials repeatedly emphasized the need to coordinate development with security. The phrase may sound abstract, but it represents an important shift in how Beijing frames economic policy. Issues that were once treated purely as economic matters, from industrial supply chains to food production and energy resources, are now increasingly discussed within a broader security framework.

The evolution did not happen overnight. In the early decades following the launch of economic reforms in the late 1970s, China’s leadership spoke most often about stability. Rapid economic transformation brought rising incomes but also new social pressures, from urbanization and labor disputes to widening regional inequality. Maintaining social stability became a central priority of local governments, guided by Deng Xiaoping’s famous maxim that stability overrides everything.

Over the past decade, however, the language of policy has shifted from stability to security. A key turning point came in 2014, when President Xi Jinping introduced the concept of a “comprehensive national security outlook”. Under this framework, political security forms the foundation, while economic, technological and social security become integral components of the broader national strategy. Security is no longer limited to military or defense matters. It now also encompasses technology leadership, supply-chain resilience, and even food and energy policy.

Seen through that lens, many of the themes highlighted during this year’s two sessions begin to make more sense. When officials emphasize strengthening domestic capabilities in key technologies or improving the resilience of industrial supply chains, they are not simply talking about economic upgrading. They are also addressing vulnerabilities exposed by an increasingly fragmented global economy.

In recent years, Hong Kong has also accelerated efforts to expand its innovation economy. Investments in AI infrastructure, startup ecosystems and cross-border research initiatives such as the Hetao Shenzhen-Hong Kong Science and Technology Innovation Cooperation Zone reflect a broader push to reposition the city as a bridge between China’s technological ambitions and international markets

Technology policy provides a clear example. China’s leadership has repeatedly called for deeper integration between scientific research and industrial development, with particular emphasis on areas such as artificial intelligence, robotics, and advanced manufacturing. The goal is not merely innovation for its own sake, but innovation that strengthens domestic capabilities in strategically important sectors. In a world where technology competition has become intertwined with geopolitics, technological self-reliance is increasingly viewed as a form of economic security.

For Hong Kong, the signals from the meetings are equally significant. Beijing once again emphasized the city’s role under the “one country, two systems” framework while encouraging deeper integration into national development strategies. The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area continues to be positioned as a major innovation corridor linking southern China’s manufacturing ecosystem with global capital and financial expertise.

In recent years, Hong Kong has also accelerated efforts to expand its innovation economy. Investments in AI infrastructure, startup ecosystems and cross-border research initiatives such as the Hetao Shenzhen-Hong Kong Science and Technology Innovation Cooperation Zone reflect a broader push to reposition the city as a bridge between China’s technological ambitions and international markets. As the nation enters the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-30) cycle, Hong Kong is increasingly aligning its own development planning with the country’s broader innovation agenda.

Taken together, the signals emerging from this year’s meetings suggest that Beijing’s priorities remain firmly anchored in long-term transformation rather than short-term stimuli. The emphasis on innovation, supply-chain resilience and economic security reflects a leadership that is preparing for a more uncertain global environment while continuing to pursue modernization goals extending toward 2035.

For outside observers accustomed to dramatic policy shifts, this strategy may appear cautious, even understated. Yet it may also reveal a deeper confidence. Rather than reacting to every external shock or economic fluctuation, China’s leadership appears increasingly comfortable pursuing a slower, more deliberate path.

The broader message from the two sessions is subtle but unmistakable. In an era of geopolitical volatility and technological competition, China is not simply trying to grow faster. It is trying to grow stronger, more resilient and more self-reliant over the long run. The success of that strategy hinges on many factors, both domestic and international. But one thing is clear now: Beijing is playing a very long game.

 

The author is chairman of the Asia MarTech Society and sits on the advisory boards of several professional organizations, including two universities.

The views do not necessarily reflect those of China Daily.